Expectations of Weekend and Turn-of-the-month Mean Return Shifts Implicit in Index Call Option Prices

نویسندگان

  • Amy Dickinson
  • David R. Peterson
چکیده

This study extends the call option pricing model developed by O’Brien (1986), which has as one of the parameters the expected return on the underlying asset, to index options. Market prices of call options on the Standard and Poor's 100 stock index are used to implicitly derive the expected rate of return on the index. Two previously documented seasonal mean shifts, at the weekend and the turn-of-the-month, are examined. Empirical evidence indicates these shifts are at least partially anticipated by investors.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Option Pricing on Commodity Prices Using Jump Diffusion Models

In this paper, we aim at developing a model for option pricing to reduce the risks associated with Ethiopian commodity prices fluctuations. We used the daily closed Unwashed Lekempti grade 5 (ULK5) coffee and Whitish Wollega Sesame Seed Grade3 (WWSS3) prices obtained from Ethiopia commodity exchange (ECX) market to analyse the prices fluctuations.The natures of log-returns of the prices exhibit a...

متن کامل

Numerical Methods of Option Pricing for Two Specific Models of Electricity Prices

In this work, two models are proposed for electricity prices as energy commodity prices which in addition to mean-reverting properties have jumps and spikes, due to non-storability of electricity. The models are simulated using an Euler scheme, and then the Monte-Carlo method is used to estimate the expectation of the discounted cash-flow under historical probability, which is considered as the...

متن کامل

بررسی اثر TOM و اثر نیمه اول و دوم هر ماه بر روی بازدهی و حجم معاملات در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران

Several anomalies have been documented indicating that capital markets do not behave as rational as “modern portfolio theory” states in other words a set of emotional, psychological and irrational behaviors are common in capital markets. Several tests have been conducted to address this issue. A large number of these tests have justified the effect of behavioral factors on securities prices. On...

متن کامل

Forecasting Stock Market Volatility and the Informational Efficiency of the DAX- index Options Market

Alternative strategies for predicting stock market volatility are examined. In out-of-sample forecasting experiments implied-volatility information, derived from contemporaneously observed option prices or history-based volatility predictors, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine if they are more appropriate for predicting future return volatility. Employing German DAX-index retu...

متن کامل

American Option Pricing of Future Contracts in an Effort to Investigate Trading Strategies; Evidence from North Sea Oil Exchange

In this paper, Black Scholes’s pricing model was developed to study American option on future contracts of Brent oil. The practical tests of the model show that market priced option contracts as future contracts less than what model did, which mostly represent option contracts with price rather than without price. Moreover, it suggests call option rather than put option. Using t hypothesis test...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1997